hoop's criticwritten by hoop's model from what the triage measured; every number in it is from the triage
each bet against the closing market, and every bet missed
| The night, and its replays | Bets | W–L | Net $ |
|---|
Every game hoop has bet live, every bet at the real Kalshi price it saw. Wins and losses stay up.
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A unit is an amount risked: a 1.1U win at 40¢ pays +1.65U; a loss is −1.1U.
| The night, and its replays | Bets | W–L | Net $ |
|---|
A courtside feed is hypothetical: each play reaches hoop 2 s after it happens on the court.
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| Game Clock Phase | Bets | Market ¢ | Engine % | Actual % | Model Edge | Realized Edge | Return / Contract | 95% Range |
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| Market / Direction | Bets | Market ¢ | Engine % | Actual % | Model Edge | Realized Edge | Return / Contract | 95% Range |
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| Edge (size) | Bets | Market ¢ | Engine % | Actual % | Realized Edge | Return / Contract | 95% Range | 1st half · 2nd |
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