NBA Player Prop Hit-Rate & Usage Surge Board (2025-26 Regular Season)
All Markets · Top Hit-Rate Edges · L5 & L10 Over Hit Frequency vs Baseline Half-Point Line · Next-Man-Up Rotation Surge Radar
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ACTIVE MARKET
All Markets · Top Hit-Rate Edges
Half-point floor baseline
80%+ L10 HIT RATE
129 Props
8/10 or better over rate
ACTIVE 4+ GAME STREAKS
41 Streaks
Consecutive games over line
ROTATION & USAGE SURGES
83 Players
390 qualified rotation players
STARTER PROMOTION
MEM
Rayan Rupert
Memphis Grizzlies · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
35.2 +18.5
Szn 16.8 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
30.4 +21.2
Szn 9.2 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O9.5 L5 Surge
L5 17.6 PPG
USAGE EXPANSION
NO
Jeremiah Fears
New Orleans Pelicans · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
39.4 +13.7
Szn 25.7 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
43.6 +22.3
Szn 21.3 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PTS O14.5 70% (7/10)
L5 31.8 PPG
STARTER PROMOTION
CHI
Leonard Miller
Chicago Bulls · F
L5 MIN (Δ)
34.2 +18.5
Szn 15.7 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
28.6 +15.9
Szn 12.7 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O12.5 L5 Surge
L5 17.6 PPG
STARTER PROMOTION
NO
Micah Peavy
New Orleans Pelicans · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
34.8 +19.8
Szn 15.0 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
16.4 +9.2
Szn 7.2 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O7.5 L5 Surge
L5 10.8 PPG
STARTER PROMOTION
MIL
Ousmane Dieng
Milwaukee Bucks · F
L5 MIN (Δ)
33.6 +14.2
Szn 19.4 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
26.8 +13.7
Szn 13.1 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O13.5 L5 Surge
L5 13.4 PPG
STARTER PROMOTION
SAC
Nique Clifford
Sacramento Kings · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
38.0 +12.9
Szn 25.1 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
30.0 +15.3
Szn 14.7 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O14.5 L5 Surge
L5 19.4 PPG
USAGE EXPANSION
BKN
Tyson Etienne
Brooklyn Nets · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
31.4 +15.6
Szn 15.8 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
21.4 +10.7
Szn 10.7 PRA
TOP PROP L10
3PM O1.5 60% (6/10)
L5 15.0 PPG
STARTER PROMOTION
MIL
Jericho Sims
Milwaukee Bucks · C
L5 MIN (Δ)
32.6 +12.6
Szn 20.0 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
25.2 +13.0
Szn 12.2 PRA
TOP PROP L10
REB O5.5 70% (7/10)
L5 12.2 PPG
USAGE EXPANSION
UTAH
Cody Williams
Utah Jazz · F
L5 MIN (Δ)
36.2 +11.9
Szn 24.3 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
26.4 +12.6
Szn 13.8 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O13.5 L5 Surge
L5 16.4 PPG
USAGE EXPANSION
CHI
Rob Dillingham
Chicago Bulls · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
26.2 +11.3
Szn 14.9 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
23.4 +12.9
Szn 10.5 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O10.5 L5 Surge
L5 15.8 PPG
STARTER PROMOTION
SAC
Devin Carter
Sacramento Kings · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
31.6 +13.2
Szn 18.4 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
25.4 +10.5
Szn 14.9 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O14.5 L5 Surge
L5 14.6 PPG
USAGE EXPANSION
BKN
Jalen Wilson
Brooklyn Nets · F
L5 MIN (Δ)
28.4 +12.5
Szn 15.9 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
20.6 +11.2
Szn 9.4 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O9.5 L5 Surge
L5 11.8 PPG
| # | Player | Team | Prop Line | GPU Sim Proj | Live EV% | L10 Hit% | L5 Hit% | Szn Hit% | Streak | Szn Avg | L10 Avg | L5 Avg | L10 vs Line | Last 5 Games (Most Recent First) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WSH | O 10.5 PTS | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 90% (9/10) | 100% (5/5) | 54% (44/82) | 7G OVER | 10.7 | 14.5 | 17.8 | +4.0 |
20
30
12
14
13
|
|
| 2 | CHI | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 100% (5/5) | 56% (43/77) | 7G OVER | 5.8 | 7.2 | 7.8 | +1.7 |
8
6
9
6
10
|
|
| 3 | PHX | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 100% (5/5) | 55% (35/64) | 6G OVER | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2.4 | +0.8 |
2
2
3
3
2
|
|
| 4 | SAC | O 6.5 AST | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 100% (5/5) | 50% (32/64) | 7G OVER | 6.7 | 8.1 | 9.8 | +1.6 |
8
10
10
9
12
|
|
| 5 | MEM | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 90% (9/10) | 100% (5/5) | 50% (20/40) | 5G OVER | 1.5 | 2.2 | 2.0 | +0.7 |
2
2
2
2
2
|
|
| 6 | DAL | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 100% (5/5) | 46% (17/37) | 7G OVER | 5.8 | 9.2 | 11.4 | +3.7 |
20
8
9
13
7
|
|
| 7 | MIL | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 100% (5/5) | 38% (10/26) | 6G OVER | 2.3 | 3.7 | 4.6 | +1.2 |
3
6
5
4
5
|
|
| 8 | MIN | O 14.5 PTS | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 100% (5/5) | 55% (40/73) | 7G OVER | 14.8 | 15.5 | 18.8 | +1.0 |
16
18
25
19
16
|
|
| 9 | NO | O 14.5 PTS | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 100% (5/5) | 45% (37/82) | 6G OVER | 14.3 | 23.6 | 31.8 | +9.1 |
36
36
40
19
28
|
|
| 10 | TOR | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 100% (5/5) | 40% (29/72) | 5G OVER | 1.5 | 2.6 | 3.2 | +1.1 |
3
4
2
3
4
|
|
| 11 | UTAH | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 60% (30/50) | 4G OVER | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.4 | +1.5 |
5
4
4
4
0
|
|
| 12 | NO | O 21.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 100% (5/5) | 45% (37/82) | 6G OVER | 21.3 | 32.4 | 43.6 | +10.9 |
51
45
51
29
42
|
|
| 13 | HOU | O 15.5 PTS | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 100% (5/5) | 55% (42/77) | 5G OVER | 15.8 | 18.0 | 19.2 | +2.5 |
16
19
20
23
18
|
|
| 14 | GS | O 5.5 AST | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 100% (5/5) | 53% (36/68) | 5G OVER | 5.5 | 6.8 | 8.0 | +1.3 |
6
6
7
12
9
|
|
| 15 | SAC | O 21.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 100% (5/5) | 47% (35/74) | 5G OVER | 21.3 | 27.0 | 32.4 | +5.5 |
32
36
25
28
41
|
|
| 16 | BOS | O 21.5 PTS | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 100% (5/5) | 56% (9/16) | 7G OVER | 21.8 | 22.4 | 23.6 | +0.9 |
24
23
23
23
25
|
|
| 17 | HOU | O 4.5 AST | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 90% (9/10) | 80% (4/5) | 50% (39/78) | 2G OVER | 4.8 | 7.0 | 5.8 | +2.5 |
7
5
3
8
6
|
|
| 18 | MIN | O 21.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 100% (5/5) | 59% (43/73) | 7G OVER | 21.8 | 21.4 | 25.4 | -0.1 |
25
22
27
28
25
|
|
| 19 | MIL | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 55% (43/78) | 4G OVER | 3.0 | 4.6 | 5.6 | +2.1 |
5
11
4
6
2
|
|
| 20 | GS | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 90% (9/10) | 80% (4/5) | 56% (46/82) | 2G OVER | 1.9 | 2.6 | 2.4 | +1.1 |
2
3
1
4
2
|
|
| 21 | DET | O 3.5 AST | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 90% (9/10) | 80% (4/5) | 46% (33/72) | 1G OVER | 3.9 | 6.6 | 6.8 | +3.1 |
4
3
6
7
14
|
|
| 22 | UTAH | O 6.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 90% (9/10) | 80% (4/5) | 48% (13/27) | 3G OVER | 6.6 | 9.8 | 12.0 | +3.3 |
17
22
7
4
10
|
|
| 23 | ATL | O 3.5 AST | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 53% (40/76) | 4G OVER | 3.9 | 5.1 | 4.8 | +1.6 |
4
4
6
7
3
|
|
| 24 | MIN | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 44% (31/70) | 4G OVER | 1.7 | 2.8 | 3.4 | +1.3 |
3
4
5
5
0
|
|
| 25 | CHA | O 3.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 100% (5/5) | 54% (39/72) | 5G OVER | 3.8 | 4.6 | 5.8 | +1.1 |
5
6
6
7
5
|
|
| 26 | WSH | O 11.5 PTS | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 50% (28/56) | 4G OVER | 11.7 | 15.9 | 14.4 | +4.4 |
25
19
12
12
4
|
|
| 27 | CHI | O 4.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 100% (5/5) | 50% (7/14) | 5G OVER | 4.7 | 6.2 | 8.6 | +1.7 |
15
9
7
7
5
|
|
| 28 | UTAH | O 13.5 PTS | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 47% (34/72) | 4G OVER | 13.8 | 18.5 | 17.2 | +5.0 |
15
23
14
22
12
|
|
| 29 | MEM | O 18.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 54% (29/54) | 4G OVER | 18.6 | 24.0 | 23.8 | +5.5 |
19
36
27
20
17
|
|
| 30 | LAL | O 11.5 PTS | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 100% (5/5) | 54% (37/68) | 5G OVER | 11.5 | 12.5 | 16.6 | +1.0 |
22
13
12
15
21
|
|
| 31 | MIN | O 14.5 PTS | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 90% (9/10) | 80% (4/5) | 52% (36/69) | 2G OVER | 14.8 | 18.3 | 17.8 | +3.8 |
15
24
12
19
19
|
|
| 32 | MIL | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 100% (5/5) | 64% (7/11) | 5G OVER | 2.5 | 2.6 | 3.4 | +0.1 |
3
5
3
3
3
|
|
| 33 | MIL | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 50% (33/66) | 4G OVER | 5.6 | 8.8 | 8.0 | +3.3 |
7
10
11
8
4
|
|
| 34 | PHX | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 49% (34/70) | 3G OVER | 1.6 | 2.2 | 2.2 | +0.7 |
3
3
2
1
2
|
|
| 35 | GS | O 13.5 PTS | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 90% (9/10) | 80% (4/5) | 51% (42/82) | - | 13.8 | 20.1 | 19.0 | +6.6 |
10
30
17
20
18
|
|
| 36 | SA | O 7.5 AST | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 49% (34/69) | 3G OVER | 7.4 | 9.4 | 9.4 | +1.9 |
9
13
9
5
11
|
|
| 37 | NO | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 90% (9/10) | 80% (4/5) | 43% (31/72) | 1G OVER | 2.1 | 3.3 | 2.8 | +0.8 |
3
1
3
4
3
|
|
| 38 | POR | O 24.5 PTS | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 100% (5/5) | 55% (36/66) | 6G OVER | 24.2 | 24.5 | 28.2 | +0.0 |
25
35
29
26
26
|
|
| 39 | UTAH | O 20.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 90% (9/10) | 80% (4/5) | 47% (35/74) | - | 20.1 | 31.0 | 30.4 | +10.5 |
18
25
43
28
38
|
|
| 40 | IND | O 19.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 46% (35/76) | 3G OVER | 19.3 | 23.7 | 21.6 | +4.2 |
23
31
22
7
25
|
|
| 41 | CHI | O 21.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 90% (9/10) | 80% (4/5) | 54% (37/68) | 1G OVER | 21.0 | 26.2 | 26.4 | +4.7 |
23
18
32
31
28
|
|
| 42 | SAC | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 59% (19/32) | - | 1.9 | 2.8 | 2.4 | +1.3 |
1
3
3
3
2
|
|
| 43 | WSH | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 60% (3/5) | 49% (28/57) | 1G OVER | 1.8 | 3.2 | 2.2 | +1.7 |
2
1
5
1
2
|
|
| 44 | NO | O 17.5 PTS | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 56% (40/72) | 2G OVER | 17.7 | 20.3 | 20.8 | +2.8 |
32
20
15
18
19
|
|
| 45 | PHI | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 100% (5/5) | 55% (41/75) | 5G OVER | 5.6 | 5.3 | 7.2 | -0.2 |
7
9
6
8
6
|
|
| 46 | UTAH | O 11.5 PTS | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 44% (26/59) | 3G OVER | 11.7 | 16.5 | 17.6 | +5.0 |
14
21
17
9
27
|
|
| 47 | POR | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 51% (42/82) | 1G OVER | 2.7 | 4.2 | 4.4 | +1.7 |
3
1
4
8
6
|
|
| 48 | IND | O 13.5 PTS | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 51% (23/45) | 3G OVER | 13.8 | 17.5 | 15.8 | +4.0 |
26
14
19
5
15
|
|
| 49 | WSH | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 100% (5/5) | 51% (35/68) | 5G OVER | 5.6 | 5.7 | 7.8 | +0.2 |
6
8
8
10
7
|
|
| 50 | BOS | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 59% (42/71) | 2G OVER | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.4 | +0.6 |
2
3
1
2
4
|
|
| 51 | UTAH | O 11.5 PTS | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 47% (36/77) | - | 11.4 | 17.6 | 18.2 | +6.1 |
9
20
17
25
20
|
|
| 52 | SAC | O 12.5 PTS | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 42% (31/74) | 3G OVER | 12.5 | 16.3 | 20.0 | +3.8 |
21
23
17
11
28
|
|
| 53 | GS | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 47% (28/60) | 1G OVER | 2.5 | 3.3 | 3.4 | +0.8 |
4
2
4
3
4
|
|
| 54 | ATL | O 24.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 55% (42/76) | 3G OVER | 24.6 | 27.9 | 27.8 | +3.4 |
35
25
26
21
32
|
|
| 55 | UTAH | O 15.5 PTS | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 45% (33/74) | - | 15.1 | 23.7 | 23.0 | +8.2 |
15
18
34
20
28
|
|
| 56 | SA | O 19.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 48% (40/83) | 4G OVER | 19.7 | 21.3 | 22.8 | +1.8 |
25
25
29
23
12
|
|
| 57 | MIL | O 17.5 PTS | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 43% (32/74) | 3G OVER | 17.3 | 21.2 | 23.8 | +3.7 |
23
24
24
12
36
|
|
| 58 | BOS | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 60% (3/5) | 49% (39/79) | 3G OVER | 2.7 | 3.5 | 3.0 | +1.0 |
5
3
4
1
2
|
|
| 59 | SA | O 11.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 49% (32/65) | 1G OVER | 11.4 | 13.5 | 14.0 | +2.0 |
13
5
18
18
16
|
|
| 60 | SAC | O 10.5 PTS | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 50% (16/32) | - | 10.8 | 14.3 | 14.2 | +3.8 |
8
20
11
15
17
|
